China sets economic course as ‘Two Sessions’ set to open in Beijing

Annual political gathering to unveil growth targets, policy priorities and new five-year development roadmap

China is set to convene its most important annual political event on Wednesday as thousands of lawmakers and political advisers gather in the capital for the 2026 “Two Sessions,” a key platform that will outline the country’s economic direction, policy priorities and long-term strategic vision.

The twin meetings — the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) — mark the fourth session of the 14th NPC and CPPCC National Committee.

Held each year in early March concurrently, the “Two Sessions” serve as China’s foremost political gathering, where the government reviews past performance, sets economic targets, approves budgets and signals policy shifts for the coming year and beyond.

This year’s meetings are expected to carry heightened significance as Beijing prepares to unveil major policy frameworks, including the next five-year development blueprint covering 2026-2030, amid growing economic headwinds and intensifying geopolitical competition.

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At the heart of the 2026 sessions will be China’s economic strategy, with analysts closely watching the government work report to be presented by Premier Li Qiang. The report traditionally outlines GDP growth targets, fiscal policy, employment goals and industrial priorities.

Recent indications suggest that China may set a growth target of around 4.5 per cent, reflecting a shift from high-speed expansion to a focus on sustainable and “high-quality” development.

The anticipated recalibration comes as the world’s second-largest economy grapples with structural challenges, including a slowing property sector, declining population growth and subdued domestic consumption. Policymakers are therefore expected to stress resilience, innovation and technological self-reliance.

Key sectors likely to receive attention include semiconductors, artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing, as Beijing seeks to reduce dependence on foreign technology and counter external pressures, particularly from the United States.

The NPC, China’s top legislature, will deliberate and approve a range of laws, budgets and institutional reforms during the session. While widely regarded as a body that endorses decisions already made by the ruling Communist Party of China (CPC), it nonetheless plays a formal role in translating policy into law.

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Delegates will review reports from the government, the Supreme People’s Court and the Supreme People’s Procuratorate, alongside discussions on economic and social development plans.

The CPPCC, an advisory body comprising representatives from various sectors of society, will meet a day earlier to discuss policy proposals and provide recommendations on issues ranging from economic reform to social welfare.

Although its role is consultative, the CPPCC is seen as an important channel for consensus-building and policy feedback within China’s political system.

A major theme expected to dominate this year’s sessions is technological self-sufficiency, particularly in critical sectors such as chips and AI. Beijing has increasingly prioritised innovation-driven growth as part of its long-term strategy to compete globally and safeguard national security.

The upcoming five-year plan is likely to reinforce these priorities, with increased investment in research and development, digital infrastructure and emerging industries. Observers say this reflects a broader shift in China’s development model — from export-led growth to a more domestically driven, innovation-based economy.

The 2026 sessions also come against the backdrop of an ongoing anti-corruption campaign within China’s military, with several senior officers recently removed from key political bodies.

More than 100 senior military officials have reportedly been purged in recent years, highlighting the scale of the campaign and its implications for China’s defence establishment. While defence policy announcements are typically part of the sessions — including the annual military budget — analysts say this year’s focus will be as much on internal discipline as on external strategy.

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China’s demographic challenge is expected to feature prominently in discussions. With the population declining and birth rates falling, policymakers are under pressure to introduce measures to encourage family formation and support long-term growth.

Previous sessions have seen proposals ranging from financial incentives for families to controversial ideas such as lowering the legal marriage age. Social policy issues, including healthcare, education and employment, are also likely to be debated, particularly in light of rising youth unemployment and inequality.

The outcomes of the Two Sessions are closely watched by governments, investors and businesses worldwide, as they provide critical insights into China’s policy direction and economic trajectory.

From trade and investment to technology and security, decisions taken during the meetings can have far-reaching implications for the global economy.

This year, particular attention will be paid to how China balances domestic challenges with its international ambitions, especially amid tensions with the United States and evolving dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region.

The Two Sessions remain a vital window into China’s governance and policy priorities. The meetings bring together thousands of delegates from across the country, reflecting a broad spectrum of political and social interests.

Key announcements, including economic targets, budget allocations and strategic initiatives, are expected to emerge over the course of the week-long proceedings. As China navigates a complex mix of economic, demographic and geopolitical challenges, the 2026 Two Sessions are set to play a defining role in shaping the country’s path forward.

With additional input from China Daily and CGTN.

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