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Oil heads for weekly gain as Middle East supply risks persist

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A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. Photo: Reuters

Oil prices rose on Friday and were set for weekly gains because of renewed fears of supply disruptions from the key Middle East ​producing region after renewed fighting between the US and Iran this week curtailed shipping ‌in the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures were up 19 cents, or 0.25%, to $76.49 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 19 cents, or 0.26%, to $72.27.

For the week, Brent was set for a gain of ​about 6% and WTI was headed for a 5% increase.

“Prices have backed off the mid-week ​highs, but there is still a substantial risk premium as Hormuz transits are back ⁠to a near-standstill with no clear signs on when normal reopening might resume,” said Vandana Hari, ​founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

“However, it looks like market confidence in the US and ​Iran returning to diplomacy to resolve the issue is capping the upside,” Hari added.

Iranian armed forces launched attacks on US military infrastructure in Gulf states on Thursday following US strikes on Iran’s southern coastal and eastern provinces, further ​straining a three-week-old ceasefire. Separately, Iranian media reported multiple explosions across southern Iran, including Bushehr, where one of ​the country’s nuclear plants is located.

Read: Oil rises after US launches fresh strikes on Iran

The renewed fighting came the day that Iran buried its slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali ‌Khamenei, ⁠the culmination of a week of mass funeral processions and rallies. Khamenei was killed on the first day of the war on February 28.

The renewed fighting has delayed the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which carried about 20% of daily global oil and gas supplies before the war.

Tanker traffic through the strait on Thursday ​was at a near ​standstill, according to ship-tracking ⁠data, as vessel owners assessed the risk from the latest strikes, which started after Iran hit a Qatari LNG ship exiting the waterway near Oman.

​Still, US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he did not think the ​war would restart because ⁠of the new fighting and that “anything that happens is going to be over very quickly”.

“Despite the US ramping up attacks on military sites in Iran, the market drew some reassurance from the Trump administration’s decision to avoid ⁠targeting Iranian ​energy infrastructure,” said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist for ANZ ​Bank.

“This was aided by comments from President Trump, who said he doesn’t expect a return to a full-scale conflict”.

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